Earthquakes are seemingly random events that are hard to predict with any reasonable accuracy. And yet geologists make very specific long term forecasts that can help to dramatically reduce the number ...

Researchers at Georgia Tech have released a geographic COVID-19 risk calculator for events in different counties in the United States, including in San Diego County. “The risk is not necessarily the ...

Quick—if you had to guess, what would you think is most likely to end all life on Earth: a meteor strike, climate change or a solar flare? (Choose carefully.) A new statistical method could help ...

I was preparing for my early morning class back in January 2025 when I received a notice regarding an asteroid called 2024 YR4. It said the probability it could hit Earth was unusually high. As ...

Even babies can estimate the probability of an event, say scientists who suggest that our ability to analyse risks and benefits of any action begins to develop when we are just six months old. Babies ...

Venn diagrams are used to sort sets of data. The probability of an event not happening uses the complement of the region on the Venn diagram. Count the number of elements in each region. Redraw the ...

(The Conversation is an independent and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.) Toshi Hirabayashi, Georgia Institute of Technology (THE CONVERSATION) I was preparing ...